Tour Outsider

Tour Outsider: AT&T Classic

2008-05-13T13:49:00.003-06:00

This week the US PGA Tour moves up from Florida to Georgia to play the AT&T Classic at Greg Norman's Sugarloaf design.

BTW: Norman is in the field this week to play the course he designed at Sugarloaf.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank		Player	CLi
1	S	Ben Crane	6.35
2	S	Briny Baird	7.70
3	S	Stewart Cink	11.40
4	S	Shane Bertsch	14.40
5	S	Dean Wilson	26.25
6	S	Parker McLachlin	27.50
7	S	Kevin Sutherland	28.25
8	S	Camilo Villegas	31.55
9	S	Steve Flesch	33.40
10	S	Brian Gay	34.05
11	S	Marco Dawson	34.35
12	S	Retief Goosen	34.80
13	S	Steve Elkington	34.90
14	S	Bob Tway	35.80
15	S	Billy Andrade

This week there are two players with CLis less than 10: Crane and Baird. So I will go with them. Then I like Cink because this is basically his home course and he has been playing well of late. After that, the CLis go into the high-20s and low-30s. So my next two picks are going to be based upon gut feel. Those would be Villegas and Flesch.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the AT&T Classic are:

Rank		Player	CLi
1	S	Ben Crane	6.35
2	S	Briny Baird	7.70
3	S	Stewart Cink	11.40
4	S	Camilo Villegas	31.55
5	S	Steve Flesch	33.40

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

We have 3 players in common in this tournament: Cink, Crane and Villegas.

Tour Outsider: The PLAYERS Championship Review

2008-05-12T09:49:00.000-06:00

It is now time to review the picks for The PLAYERS Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank		Player	CLi	Rank				Earnings
Rank		Player	CLi	Rd4	Rd3	Rd2	Rd1	Actual
1	S	Adam Scott	4.45	54	20	37	91	$21,280
2	S	Phil Mickelson	9.65	21	4	13	9	$95,000
3	S	Padraig Harrington	11.25	MC	MC	90	35	$0
4	S	Stewart Cink	14.15	21	34	37	23	$95,000
5	S	Geoff Ogilvy	32.80	MC	MC	107)	111	$0

Well, first of all, my pick of Ogivly (14th in the CLi rankings) was not a good one. However, on the bright side, if I had picked Singh instead, I would not have been in a much better position. Both players missed the cut.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

1 Phil Mickelson | 21 | $95,000
2 Adam Scott | 54 | $21,280
3 Vijay Singh | 75 (MC) | $0
4 Brandt Snedeker | 75 (MC) | $0
5 Anthony Kim 42 | $29,830

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$211,280	$146,110	TO
Avg Rank	58.6	53.4	TI
Made Cut	3	3	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	DRAW

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Insider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was a draw.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 4 wins to the Tour Insider, and 5 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Player

Rank

colspan="2" align="center" valign="top">

Rank	align="center" nowrap="nowrap" valign="top" width="5%"> CLi		Earnings
Rank	align="center" nowrap="nowrap" valign="top" width="5%"> CLi		Rd4	Rd3	Rd2	Rd1	Actual
1	S	Adam Scott	4.45	54	20	37	91	$21,280
2	S	Phil Mickelson	9.65	21	4	13	9	$95,000
3	S	Padraig Harrington	11.25	MC	MC	90	35	$0
4	S	Stewart Cink	14.15	21	34	37	23	$95,000
5	S	Vijay Singh	15.75	MC	MC	75	91	$0
6	S	Mathew Goggin	17.35	MC	MC	98	70	$0
7	S	Jim Furyk	18.55	27	20	37	70	$67,450
8	S	Retief Goosen	22.60	51	47	16	55	$22,863
9	S	Henrik Stenson	26.50	10	34	16	55	$218,500
10	S	Brandt Snedeker	28.20	MC	MC	75	35	$0
11	S	Boo Weekley	30.50	21	7	6	9	$95,000
12	S	Lee Westwood	30.95	MC	MC	98	55	$0
13	S	Stephen Ames	31.50	5	14	7	70	$380,000
14	S	Geoff Ogilvy	32.80	MC	MC	107)	111	$0
15	S	Steve Elkington	33.10	32	53	28	4	$48,260

Tour Outsider: The PLAYERS Championship

2008-05-07T09:01:00.002-06:00

This week the US PGA Tour is at Sawgrass in Florida playing it's gem of a tournament: The PLAYERS Championship.

Let's look at the Golf CLi and see who the top 15 players are for the tournament ranked by the CLi figure.

Rank		Player	CLi
1	S	Adam Scott	4.45
2	S	Phil Mickelson	9.65
3	S	Padraig Harrington	11.25
4	S	Stewart Cink	14.15
5	S	Vijay Singh	15.75
6	S	Mathew Goggin	17.35
7	S	Jim Furyk	18.55
8	S	Retief Goosen	22.60
9	S	Henrik Stenson	26.50
10	S	Brandt Snedeker	28.20
11	S	Boo Weekley	30.50
12	S	Lee Westwood	30.95
13	S	Stephen Ames	31.50
14	S	Geoff Ogilvy	32.80
15	S	Steve Elkington	33.10

I am going to go with the top 4 in the CLi rankings. Actually the top 5 all look good. However, I am going to do something strange this week and go all the way down to the 14th player in the CLi rankings to pick Ogilvy. I just have a funny feeling that Ogilvy will made the cut and perform well this week. Singh, who is the 5th player in the CLi rankings, would love to win this tournament as he is a local Ponte Vedra Beach resident. However, he might be pushing himself too much to win the tournament because of that.

So the Tour Outsider picks for the PLAYERS Championship are:

Rank		Player	CLi
1	S	Adam Scott	4.45
2	S	Phil Mickelson	9.65
3	S	Padraig Harrington	11.25
4	S	Stewart Cink	14.15
5	S	Geoff Ogilvy	32.80

The Tour Insider's (Dave Shedloski) picks are:

We have 2 players in common in this tournament: Mickelson and Scott.

Tour Outsider: Wachovia Championship Review

2008-05-04T16:38:00.002-06:00

It is now time to review the picks for the Wachovia Championship to see how the results turned out.

Here are the results of the Tour Outsider (my) picks.

Rank		Player	CLi	Rank				Earnings
Rank		Player	CLi	Rd4	Rd3	Rd2	Rd1	Actual
1	S	Adam Scott	5.50	8	11	66	48	$179,200
2	S	Jim Furyk	6.45	7	6	3	24	$214,400
3	S	Vijay Singh	7.10	17	8	8	13	$89,600
4	S	Geoff Ogilvy	8.60	22	6	8	13	$66,560
5	S	Phil Mickelson	9.70	12	11	25	2	$125,440

This week was good. All 5 players made the cut, and the average rank was 13.2. The worst finish for a player in the group of 5 was 22nd (Ogilvy). Not bad.

There was one thing that I missed on, and that was Anthony Kim. I specifically skipped over him in the CLi rankings and he ended up winning the tournament for his first US PGA Tour event win. Good for Kim.

Here are the results of the Tour Insider (Dave Shedloski) picks.

1 Adam Scott | 8 | $179,200
2 Vijay Singh | 17 | $89,600
3 Stewart Cink | 8 | $179,200
4 Boo Weekley | 49 | $15,795
5 Phil Mickelson 12 | $125,440

Here is the comparison between the Tour Outsider and Tour Insider picks.

	Tour Outsider	Tour Insider	Winner
Total Earnings	$675,000	$589,235	TO
Avg Rank	13.2	18.8	TO
Made Cut	5	5	DRAW
Outcome	--	--	TO

The Total Earnings category was won by the Tour Outsider.

The Tour Outsider won the Avg Rank category.

The Made Cut category was a draw.

This tournament overall was won by the Tour Outsider.

The overall results between the Tour Outsider and the Tour Insider year to date is, 12 wins to the Tour Outsider, 4 wins to the Tour Insider, and 4 draws.

The CLi top 15 looked like this (see below).

Rank		Player	CLi	Rank				Earnings
Rank		Player	CLi	Rd4	Rd3	Rd2	Rd1	Actual
1	S	Adam Scott	5.50	8	11	66	48	$179,200
2	S	Jim Furyk	6.45	7	6	3	24	$214,400
3	S	Vijay Singh	7.10	17	8	8	13	$89,600
4	S	Anthony Kim	7.20	1	1	2	13	$1,152,000
5	S	Geoff Ogilvy	8.60	22	6	8	13	$66,560
6	S	Phil Mickelson	9.70	12	11	25	2	$125,440
7	S	Stewart Cink	14.85	8	4	41	72	$179,200
8	S	Lucas Glover	16.15	69	30	41	72	$12,928
9	S	Steve Stricker	16.20	MC	MC	104	148	$0
10	S	Kevin Sutherland	16.85	MC	MC	115	98	$0
11	S	Trevor Immelman	22.40	MC	MC	115	131	$0
12	S	Nick Watney	23.20	40	18	25	72	$22,428
13	S	Sergio Garcia	23.60	34	50	41	24	$32,320
14	S	Billy Mayfair	23.90	55	50	18	98	$14,336
15	S	Boo Weekley	27.20	49	58	25	48	$15,795